Arbeitspapier

Did sunspot cause the Great Depression?

We apply a dynamic general equilibrium model to the period of the Great Depression. In particular, we examine a modification of the real business cycle model in which the possibility of indeterminacy of equilibria arises. In other words, agents' self-fulfilling expectations can serve as a primary impulse behind fluctuations. We find that the model, driven only by these measured sunspot shocks, can explain well the entire Depression era. That is, the decline from 1929-1932, the subsequent slow recovery, and the recession that occurred in 1937-1938.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: SFB 373 Discussion Paper ; No. 2002,35

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Business Fluctuations; Cycles
Economic History: Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics; Industrial Structure; Growth; Fluctuations: U.S.; Canada: 1913-
Thema
Great Depression
Sunspots
Dynamic General Equilibrium

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Harrison, Sharon G.
Weder, Mark
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Humboldt University of Berlin, Interdisciplinary Research Project 373: Quantification and Simulation of Economic Processes
(wo)
Berlin
(wann)
2002

Handle
URN
urn:nbn:de:kobv:11-10048937
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:44 MEZ

Datenpartner

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Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Harrison, Sharon G.
  • Weder, Mark
  • Humboldt University of Berlin, Interdisciplinary Research Project 373: Quantification and Simulation of Economic Processes

Entstanden

  • 2002

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