Arbeitspapier

Does my model predict a forward guidance puzzle?

We provide suffcient conditions for when a rational expectations structural model predicts bounded responses of endogenous variables to forward guidance announcements. The conditions coincide with a special case of the well-known (E)xpectation-stability conditions that govern when agents can learn a Rational Expectations Equilibrium. Importantly, we show that the conditions are distinct from the determinacy conditions. We show how the conditions are useful for diagnosing the features of a model that contribute to the Forward Guidance Puzzle and reveal how to construct well-behaved forward guidance predictions in standard medium-scale DSGE models.

ISBN
978-952-323-294-5
Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers ; No. 19/2019

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
Business Fluctuations; Cycles
Monetary Policy
Expectations; Speculations
Search; Learning; Information and Knowledge; Communication; Belief; Unawareness

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Gibbs, Christopher G.
McClung, Nigel
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Bank of Finland
(wo)
Helsinki
(wann)
2019

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:44 MEZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Gibbs, Christopher G.
  • McClung, Nigel
  • Bank of Finland

Entstanden

  • 2019

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