Arbeitspapier

Sovereign credit ratings and their impact on recent financial crises

This paper discusses the role of the credit rating agencies during the recent financial crises. In particular, it examines whether the agencies can add to the dynamics of emerging market crises. Academics and investors often argue that sovereign credit ratings are responsible for pronounced boom-bust cycles in emerging-markets lending. Using a vector autoregressive system this paper examines how US dollar bond yield spreads and the short-term international liquidity position react to an unexpected sovereign credit rating change. Contrary to common belief and previous studies, the empirical results suggest that an abrupt downgrade does not necessarily intensify a financial crisis.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: CFS Working Paper ; No. 2000/04

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Single Equation Models; Single Variables: Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
Model Construction and Estimation
General Financial Markets: General (includes Measurement and Data)
Thema
Risk Management
Value at Risk
Density Forecasting
Predictive Likelihood

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Kräussl, Roman
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Goethe University Frankfurt, Center for Financial Studies (CFS)
(wo)
Frankfurt a. M.
(wann)
2000

Handle
URN
urn:nbn:de:hebis:30-9698
Letzte Aktualisierung
20.09.2024, 08:21 MESZ

Datenpartner

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Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Kräussl, Roman
  • Goethe University Frankfurt, Center for Financial Studies (CFS)

Entstanden

  • 2000

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