Arbeitspapier
Sovereign credit ratings and their impact on recent financial crises
This paper discusses the role of the credit rating agencies during the recent financial crises. In particular, it examines whether the agencies can add to the dynamics of emerging market crises. Academics and investors often argue that sovereign credit ratings are responsible for pronounced boom-bust cycles in emerging-markets lending. Using a vector autoregressive system this paper examines how US dollar bond yield spreads and the short-term international liquidity position react to an unexpected sovereign credit rating change. Contrary to common belief and previous studies, the empirical results suggest that an abrupt downgrade does not necessarily intensify a financial crisis.
- Sprache
-
Englisch
- Erschienen in
-
Series: CFS Working Paper ; No. 2000/04
- Klassifikation
-
Wirtschaft
Single Equation Models; Single Variables: Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
Model Construction and Estimation
General Financial Markets: General (includes Measurement and Data)
- Thema
-
Risk Management
Value at Risk
Density Forecasting
Predictive Likelihood
- Ereignis
-
Geistige Schöpfung
- (wer)
-
Kräussl, Roman
- Ereignis
-
Veröffentlichung
- (wer)
-
Goethe University Frankfurt, Center for Financial Studies (CFS)
- (wo)
-
Frankfurt a. M.
- (wann)
-
2000
- Handle
- URN
-
urn:nbn:de:hebis:30-9698
- Letzte Aktualisierung
-
20.09.2024, 08:21 MESZ
Datenpartner
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.
Objekttyp
- Arbeitspapier
Beteiligte
- Kräussl, Roman
- Goethe University Frankfurt, Center for Financial Studies (CFS)
Entstanden
- 2000