What weather variables are important for wet and slab avalanches under a changing climate in a low-altitude mountain range in Czechia?

Abstract ∘ C since 1979. d  maximum and minimum air temperature, snow depth, wind speed, wind direction, and rainfall. Slab-avalanche activity is influenced by snow depth, rainfall, new snow, and wind speed. Based on the balanced RF method, air-temperature-related variables for slab avalanches were less important than rain- and snow-related variables. Surprisingly, the RF analysis revealed a less significant than expected relationship between the new-snow sum and slab-avalanche activity. Our analysis allows the use of the identified wet- and slab-avalanche driving variables to be included in the avalanche danger level alerts. Although it cannot replace operational forecasting, machine learning can allow for additional insights for the decision-making process to mitigate avalanche hazard.

Location
Deutsche Nationalbibliothek Frankfurt am Main
Extent
Online-Ressource
Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
What weather variables are important for wet and slab avalanches under a changing climate in a low-altitude mountain range in Czechia? ; volume:22 ; number:10 ; year:2022 ; pages:3501-3525 ; extent:25
Natural hazards and earth system sciences ; 22, Heft 10 (2022), 3501-3525 (gesamt 25)

Creator
Součková, Markéta
Juras, Roman
Dytrt, Kryštof
Moravec, Vojtěch
Blöcher, Johanna Ruth
Hanel, Martin

DOI
10.5194/nhess-22-3501-2022
URN
urn:nbn:de:101:1-2022102705204436879122
Rights
Open Access; Der Zugriff auf das Objekt ist unbeschränkt möglich.
Last update
15.08.2025, 7:27 AM CEST

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Associated

  • Součková, Markéta
  • Juras, Roman
  • Dytrt, Kryštof
  • Moravec, Vojtěch
  • Blöcher, Johanna Ruth
  • Hanel, Martin

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