Arbeitspapier

Who Bears the Welfare Costs of Monopoly? The Case of the Credit Card Industry

How are the welfare costs from monopoly distributed across U.S. households? We answer this question for the U.S. credit card industry, which is highly concentrated, charges interest rates that are 3.4 to 8.8 percentage points above perfectly competitive pricing, and has repeatedly lost antitrust lawsuits. We depart from existing competitive models by integrating oligopolistic lenders into a heterogeneous agent, defaultable debt framework. Our model accounts for 20 to 50 percent of the spreads observed in the data. Welfare gains from competitive reforms in the 1970s are equivalent to a one-time transfer worth between 0.24 and 1.66 percent of GDP. Along the transition path, 93 percent of individuals are better off. Poor households benefit from increased consumption smoothing, while rich households benefit from higher general equilibrium interest rates on savings. Transitioning from 1970 to 2016 levels of competition yields welfare gains equivalent to a one-time transfer worth between 1.87 and 3.20 percent of GDP. Lastly, homogeneous interest rate caps in 2016 deliver limited welfare gains.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: IZA Discussion Papers ; No. 12836

Classification
Wirtschaft
Household Saving; Personal Finance
Market Structure, Pricing, and Design: Oligopoly and Other Forms of Market Imperfection
Welfare Economics: General
Macroeconomics: Consumption; Saving; Wealth
Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
Banks; Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
Subject
welfare costs of monopoly
consumer credit
competition
welfare

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Herkenhoff, Kyle
Raveendranathan, Gajendran
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Institute of Labor Economics (IZA)
(where)
Bonn
(when)
2019

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:44 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Herkenhoff, Kyle
  • Raveendranathan, Gajendran
  • Institute of Labor Economics (IZA)

Time of origin

  • 2019

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