Arbeitspapier

Modelling low income transitions

We examine the determinants of low income transitions using first-order Markov models that control for initial conditions effects (those found to be poor in the base year may be a non-random sample) and for attrition (panel retention may also be non-random). Our econometric model is a form of endogeneous switching regression, and is fitted using simulated maximum likelihood methods. The estimates, derived from British panel data for the 1990s, indicate that there is substantial genuine state dependence in poverty. We also provide estimates of low income transition rates and lengths of poverty and non-poverty spells for persons of different types.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: DIW Discussion Papers ; No. 288

Classification
Wirtschaft
Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Discrete Regression and Qualitative Choice Models; Discrete Regressors; Proportions
Single Equation Models; Single Variables: Panel Data Models; Spatio-temporal Models
Measurement and Analysis of Poverty
Personal Income, Wealth, and Their Distributions
Subject
Armut
Niedrigeinkommen
Soziale Mobilität
Ökonometrisches Modell
Mikroökonometrie
Schätzung
Theorie
Großbritannien

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Cappellari, Lorenzo
Jenkins, Stephen P.
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung (DIW)
(where)
Berlin
(when)
2002

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:44 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Cappellari, Lorenzo
  • Jenkins, Stephen P.
  • Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung (DIW)

Time of origin

  • 2002

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