Arbeitspapier

Forward guidance in an advanced small open economy in the effective lower bound

We examine forward guidance (with known and uncertain duration) in a New Keynesian model for an advanced small open economy, showing that the response of the economy to this policy depends, both quantitatively and qualitatively, on some structural features through calibrations for Sweden and Spain. In particular, an announcement of future expansionary policy is positively related to the exchange rate pass-through and is larger than in the closed economy counterpart because of a better inflation-output trade-off and the exchange rate channel. We also show that multiple equilibria could arise and that the real exchange rate is a key variable driving this result. In particular, the response of output and inflation is amplified when aggregate supply is negatively related to the real exchange rate. These results could not necessarily be extended to emerging market economies.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: Working Papers ; No. 2021-16

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
Monetary Policy
Thema
Monetary policy
advanced small open economy
forward guidance

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
André, Marine Charlotte
Traficante, Guido
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Banco de México
(wo)
Ciudad de México
(wann)
2021

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:43 MEZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • André, Marine Charlotte
  • Traficante, Guido
  • Banco de México

Entstanden

  • 2021

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