Artikel

Regime-dependent good and bad volatility of Bitcoin

This paper analyzes high-frequency estimates of good and bad realized volatility of Bitcoin. We show that volatility asymmetry depends on the volatility regime and the forecast horizon. For one-day ahead forecasts, good volatility commands a stronger impact on future volatility than bad volatility on average and in extreme volatility regimes but not across all quantiles and volatility regimes. For 7-day ahead forecasting horizons the asymmetry is similar to that observed in stock markets and becomes stronger with increasing volatility. Compared with stock markets, the persistence and predictability of volatility is low indicating high variations of volatility.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Journal: Journal of Risk and Financial Management ; ISSN: 1911-8074 ; Volume: 13 ; Year: 2020 ; Issue: 12 ; Pages: 1-16 ; Basel: MDPI

Classification
Wirtschaft
Subject
semivariance
bitcoin
volatility asymmetry
high-frequency data
HAR
quantile regression

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Jha, Kislay Kumar
Baur, Dirk G.
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
MDPI
(where)
Basel
(when)
2020

DOI
doi:10.3390/jrfm13120312
Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:43 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Artikel

Associated

  • Jha, Kislay Kumar
  • Baur, Dirk G.
  • MDPI

Time of origin

  • 2020

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