Arbeitspapier

New trade models, same old emissions?

This paper investigates the elusive role of productivity heterogeneity in new trade models in the trade and environment nexus. We contrast the Eaton-Kortum and the Melitz models with firm heterogeneity to the Armington and Krugman models without heterogeneity. We show that if firms have a constant emission share in terms of sales - as they do in a wide range of trade and environment models - the three models' emission predictions exactly coincide. Conversely, if firms have a constant emission intensity per quantity - a prominent alternative in the literature - the emission equivalence between the three models breaks. We provide a generalization that nests both constant emission shares in sales and constant quantity emission intensities as special cases. We calibrate the models to global production and trade data and use German firm-level data to estimate the key elasticity of how emission intensity changes with productivity. Our multi-industry quantification demonstrates that the role of firm heterogeneity depends both on the model and the estimated parameters. Moving from the Armington model to the EK model increases the emissions effect on trade, while moving from the Krugman model to the Melitz model decreases the emission effects on trade.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: Kiel Working Paper ; No. 2267

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Neoclassical Models of Trade
Models of Trade with Imperfect Competition and Scale Economies; Fragmentation
Trade and Environment
Thema
International trade
carbon emissions
firm heterogeneity

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Sogalla, Robin
Wanner, Joschka
Watabe, Yuta
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel)
(wo)
Kiel
(wann)
2024

Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:44 MEZ

Datenpartner

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Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Sogalla, Robin
  • Wanner, Joschka
  • Watabe, Yuta
  • Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel)

Entstanden

  • 2024

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