Arbeitspapier

Coherence of Output Gaps in the Euro Area: The Impact of the Covid-19 Shock

Using the measures proposed by Mink et al. (2012), we reexamine the coherence of business cycles in the euro area using a long sample period. We also analyze the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on business cycle coherence and examine whether our measures for business cycle coherence indicate a core versus periphery within EMU. Our results suggest that business cycle coherence did not increase monotonically. The COVID-19 pandemic made that the signs of the output gaps of euro area countries became more similar, but we find large differences in the amplitude of the output gaps across countries.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: CESifo Working Paper ; No. 9654

Classification
Wirtschaft
Business Fluctuations; Cycles
International Economic Order and Integration
International Policy Coordination and Transmission
Subject
Covid-19 crisis
business cycle coherence
synchronization
output gaps
euro area

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
de Haan, Jakob
Jacobs, Jan P.A.M.
Zijm, Renske
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)
(where)
Munich
(when)
2022

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:44 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • de Haan, Jakob
  • Jacobs, Jan P.A.M.
  • Zijm, Renske
  • Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)

Time of origin

  • 2022

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