Arbeitspapier

Government Spending Shocks, Sovereign Risk and the Exchange Rate Regime

Conventional wisdom teaches that the output response upon a fiscal expansion is higher under fixed than floating exchange rates for a small open economy. We analyse the effects of fiscal expansions using a New Keynesian model and find that this result reverses in times of sovereign default risk. Under a float, a fiscal expansion is followed by an exchange rate depreciation, which stimulates exports; under a peg, only the adverse effects of sovereign risk on private credit conditions and consumption remain. When these adverse effects are large, we show that a transient fiscal contraction may bring about positive output responses, yet only in the short run.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper ; No. 13-212/VI

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Business Fluctuations; Cycles
Monetary Policy
Fiscal Policy
Thema
Fiscal policy
government spending
exchange rate regime
sovereign risk
New Keynesian model
expansionary fiscal consolidation

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Bonam, Dennis
Lukkezen, Jasper
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Tinbergen Institute
(wo)
Amsterdam and Rotterdam
(wann)
2013

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:44 MEZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Bonam, Dennis
  • Lukkezen, Jasper
  • Tinbergen Institute

Entstanden

  • 2013

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