Arbeitspapier

The cyclical character of fiscal policy in transition countries

This study investigates the cyclical character of fiscal policy in transition countries in Central, Eastern and Southeastern Europe (CESEE) in the period from 1995 to 2011, using system GMM as the preferred estimation method for the underlying sample and model specification. The study finds discretionary policy in the CESEE EU Member States and in the Western Balkan countries to have been procyclical, thus aggravating economic fluctuations, whereas automatic stabilizers moved overall policy to an acyclical stance. In addition, the analysis indicates considerable differences in the cyclical character of fiscal policy between transition countries and the Western European EU Member States, where both overall fiscal policy and discretionary policy were acyclical. Finally, the study also offers several recommendations for policymakers, particularly in transition countries.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Working Paper ; No. [2016-03]

Classification
Wirtschaft
National Deficit; Surplus
Business Fluctuations; Cycles
Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Panel Data Models; Spatio-temporal Models
Subject
fiscal policy
transition countries
European Union
system GMM

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Kabashi, Rilind
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
National Bank of the Republic of Macedonia
(where)
Skopje
(when)
2016

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:43 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Kabashi, Rilind
  • National Bank of the Republic of Macedonia

Time of origin

  • 2016

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