Arbeitspapier

Money growth and consumer price inflation in the euro area: A wavelet analysis

Our paper studies the relationship between money growth and consumer price inflation in the euro area using wavelet analysis. Wavelet analysis allows to account for variations in the money growth-inflation relationship both across the frequency spectrum and across time. We find evidence of strong comovements between money growth and inflation at low frequencies with money growth as the leading variable. However, our analysis of time variation at medium-to-long-run frequencies indicates a weakening of the relationship after the mid 1990s which also reflects in a deterioration of the leading indicator property and a decline in the cross wavelet gain. In contrast, most of the literature, by failing to account for the effects of time variation, estimated stable long-run relationships between money growth and inflation well into the 2000s.

ISBN
978-3-95729-083-0
Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: Bundesbank Discussion Paper ; No. 33/2014

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables: General
Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
Money and Interest Rates: General
Thema
money growth
inflation
wavelet analysis

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Mandler, Martin
Scharnagl, Michael
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Deutsche Bundesbank
(wo)
Frankfurt a. M.
(wann)
2014

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:41 MEZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Mandler, Martin
  • Scharnagl, Michael
  • Deutsche Bundesbank

Entstanden

  • 2014

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