Arbeitspapier

Money growth and consumer price inflation in the euro area: An update

We update the wavelet-based analysis of the relationship between money growth and inflation in the euro area in Mandler and Scharnagl (2014). The relationship between headline M3 growth and inflation at low frequencies has weakened over the 1990s. However, we find evidence of stable comovement between money growth adjusted by real GDP growth and consumer price inflation for cycles of 24 years and longer duration. The long-run fluctuations of adjusted money growth and inflation move roughly about 1:1 and are contemporaneous, i.e. there is no lead of money growth. Our analysis of cycles in both variables of 24 years and longer provides information on the relationship between the variables from the late 1980s to the early 2000s.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: Technical Paper ; No. 01/2023

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables: General
Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
Money and Interest Rates: General
Thema
money growth
inflation
euro area
wavelet analysis

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Mandler, Martin
Scharnagl, Michael
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Deutsche Bundesbank
(wo)
Frankfurt a. M.
(wann)
2023

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:42 MEZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Mandler, Martin
  • Scharnagl, Michael
  • Deutsche Bundesbank

Entstanden

  • 2023

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