Arbeitspapier

Measuring the effect of spell recurrence on poverty dynamics

The analysis of poverty dynamics yields important insights about the expected effectiveness of alternative social policies on poverty reduction. This paper analyses the effect of spell recurrence on poverty dynamics taking into account multiple poverty and non-poverty spells. Using longitudinal data for Spain we obtain that the poverty exit and re-entry rates vary not only with personal or household characteristics but also with spell accumulation and with the duration of past spells. Results indicate that the effect of duration dependence is significant and turns out to be different by spell order. Our findings support progress towards incorporating full individual poverty trajectories more explicitly in estimating the likelihood of future poverty.

ISBN
978-92-9230-310-5
Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: WIDER Working Paper ; No. 2010/72

Classification
Wirtschaft
Duration Analysis; Optimal Timing Strategies
Personal Income, Wealth, and Their Distributions
Measurement and Analysis of Poverty
Subject
poverty dynamics
multiple spells
recurrence

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Arranz, José Maria
Cantó, Olga
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
The United Nations University World Institute for Development Economics Research (UNU-WIDER)
(where)
Helsinki
(when)
2010

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:42 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Arranz, José Maria
  • Cantó, Olga
  • The United Nations University World Institute for Development Economics Research (UNU-WIDER)

Time of origin

  • 2010

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