Present-day correlations are insufficient to predict cloud albedo change by anthropogenic aerosols in E3SM v2

Abstract Cloud albedo susceptibility to droplet number perturbation remains a source of uncertainty in understanding aerosol–cloud interactions and thus both past and present climate states. Through the Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SM) v2 experiments, we probe the effects of competing processes on cloud albedo susceptibility of low-lying marine stratocumulus in the northeast Pacific. In present-day conditions, we find that increasing precipitation suppression by aerosols increases cloud albedo susceptibility, whereas increasing cloud sedimentation decreases it. By constructing a hypothetical model configuration exhibiting negative susceptibility under all conditions, we conclude that cloud albedo change due to aerosol perturbation cannot be predicted by present-day co-variabilities in E3SM v2. As such, our null result herein challenges the assumption that present-day climate observations are sufficient to constrain past states, at least in the context of cloud albedo changes to aerosol perturbation.

Location
Deutsche Nationalbibliothek Frankfurt am Main
Extent
Online-Ressource
Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Present-day correlations are insufficient to predict cloud albedo change by anthropogenic aerosols in E3SM v2 ; volume:24 ; number:12 ; year:2024 ; pages:7253-7260 ; extent:8
Atmospheric chemistry and physics ; 24, Heft 12 (2024), 7253-7260 (gesamt 8)

Creator
Mahfouz, Naser
Muelmenstaedt, Johannes
Burrows, Susannah

DOI
10.5194/acp-24-7253-2024
URN
urn:nbn:de:101:1-2408051547066.794474048357
Rights
Open Access; Der Zugriff auf das Objekt ist unbeschränkt möglich.
Last update
14.08.2025, 11:02 AM CEST

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