Model selection for forecast combination

Abstract: In this paper it is advocated to select a model only if it significantly contributes to the accuracy of a combined forecast. Using hold-out-data forecasts of individual models and of the combined forecast, a useful test for equal forecast accuracy can be designed. An illustration for real-time forecasts for GDP in the Netherlands shows its ease of use

Location
Deutsche Nationalbibliothek Frankfurt am Main
Extent
Online-Ressource
Language
Englisch
Notes
Postprint
begutachtet (peer reviewed)
In: Applied Economics (2009) ; 43

Classification
Geowissenschaften

Event
Veröffentlichung
(where)
Mannheim
(when)
2009
Creator

DOI
10.1080/00036840902762753
URN
urn:nbn:de:0168-ssoar-243094
Rights
Open Access unbekannt; Open Access; Der Zugriff auf das Objekt ist unbeschränkt möglich.
Last update
25.03.2025, 1:48 PM CET

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Associated

Time of origin

  • 2009

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