Arbeitspapier

Welfare Spending and Quality of Growth in Developing Countries: Evidence from Hopefuls, Contenders and Best Performers

The transition from the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) to Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) has shifted the policy debate from growth to 'quality of growth' (QG). The April 2015 World Bank publication on MDGs extreme poverty targets has revealed that poverty has been decreasing in all regions of the world with the exception of Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). We explore a new dataset on QG by the IMF and classify 93 developing countries for the period 1990-2011 in terms of Hopefuls, Contenders and Best Performers. Preliminary findings reveal that 31 of the 33 countries in the Hopefuls category are in SSA. We build on stylized facts depicting the contradiction between high-growth and poor social welfare, and assess the determinants of education and health spending on the QG using quantile regressions to articulate least and best QG performers. The following findings are established. First, on average, the effect of health (education) is decreasingly (increasingly) positive from Hopefuls to Best Performers. Second, on within categories: (1) health spending has positive threshold effects with decreasing magnitude among Hopefuls (0.10th to 0.30th quantiles) and Contenders (0.40th to 0.60th quantile), and positive effects with increasing magnitude among Best Performers (0.10th to 0.90th quantile) and (2) education spending has positive inverted U-shaped effects among Hopefuls and Contenders and positive U-shaped effects among Best Performers. Policy implications are discussed.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: AGDI Working Paper ; No. WP/15/022

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity: General
Comparative Studies of Countries
Health: General
Education and Research Institutions: General
Measurement and Analysis of Poverty
Thema
Quality of growth
Development
Education
Health

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Asongu, Simplice A.
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
African Governance and Development Institute (AGDI)
(wo)
Yaoundé
(wann)
2015

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
04.04.20252025, 21:48 MESZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
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Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Asongu, Simplice A.
  • African Governance and Development Institute (AGDI)

Entstanden

  • 2015

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