Arbeitspapier

Conditional cash transfers, schoolingand child labor: micro-simulating bolsa escola

Cash transfers targeted to poor people, but conditional on some behavior on their part, such as school attendance or regular visits to health care facilities, are being adopted in a growing number of developing countries. Even where ex-post impact evaluations have been conducted, a number of policy-relevant counterfactual questions have remained unanswered. These are questions about the potential impact of changes in program design, such as benefit levels or the choice of the means-test, on both the current welfare and the behavioral response of household members. This paper proposes a method to simulate the effects of those alternative program designs on welfare and behavior, based on microeconometrically estimated models of household behavior. In an application to Brazil’s recently introduced federal Bolsa Escola program, we find a surprisingly strong effect of the conditionality on school attendance, but a muted impact of the transfers on the reduction of current poverty and inequality levels.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Texto para discussão ; No. 477

Classification
Wirtschaft
Fertility; Family Planning; Child Care; Children; Youth
Time Allocation and Labor Supply
Human Capital; Skills; Occupational Choice; Labor Productivity
Subject
Conditional Transfers
Demand for Schooling
Child Labor JEL Codes: I38
Öffentliche Sozialleistungen
Bildungsverhalten
Kinderarbeit
Armut
Brasilien

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Bourguignon, François
Ferreira, Francisco H. G.
Leite, Phillippe G.
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Pontifícia Universidade Católica do Rio de Janeiro (PUC-Rio), Departamento de Economia
(where)
Rio de Janeiro
(when)
2003

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:42 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Bourguignon, François
  • Ferreira, Francisco H. G.
  • Leite, Phillippe G.
  • Pontifícia Universidade Católica do Rio de Janeiro (PUC-Rio), Departamento de Economia

Time of origin

  • 2003

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