Arbeitspapier

Discount rates, debt maturity and the fiscal theory

This paper examines how the transmission of government portfolio risk arising from maturity operations depends on the stance of monetary/fiscal policy. Accounting for risk premia in the fiscal theory allows the government portfolio to affect the expected inflation, even in a frictionless economy. The effects of maturity rebalancing on expected inflation in the fiscal theory directly depend on the conditional nominal term premium, giving rise to an optimal debt maturity policy that is state dependent. In a calibrated macro-finance model, we demonstrate that maturity operations have sizable effects on expected inflation and output through our novel risk transmission mechanism.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Bank of Canada Staff Working Paper ; No. 2021-58

Classification
Wirtschaft
Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
Comparative or Joint Analysis of Fiscal and Monetary Policy; Stabilization; Treasury Policy
Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
Subject
Fiscal policy
Interest rates
Monetary policy

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Corhay, Alexandre
Kind, Thilo
Kung, Howard
Morales, Gonzalo
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Bank of Canada
(where)
Ottawa
(when)
2021

DOI
doi:10.34989/swp-2021-58
Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:44 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Corhay, Alexandre
  • Kind, Thilo
  • Kung, Howard
  • Morales, Gonzalo
  • Bank of Canada

Time of origin

  • 2021

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