Arbeitspapier

The spatial dimension of US house price developments

Spatial heterogeneity and spatial dependence are two well established aspects of house price developments. However, the analysis of differences in spatial dependence across time and space has not gained much attention yet. In this paper we jointly analyze these three aspects of spatial data. We apply a panel smooth transition regression model that allows for heterogeneity across time and space in spatial house price spillovers and for heterogeneity in the effect of the fundamentals on house price dynamics. We find evidence for heterogeneity in spatial spillovers of house price developments across space and time: house price developments in neighboring regions spill over stronger in times of increasing neighboring house prices compared to declining neighboring house prices. This is interpreted as evidence for the disposition effect. Moreover, heterogeneity in the effect of the fundamentals on house price dynamics could not be detected for all variables; real per capita disposable income and the unemployment rate have a homogeneous effect across time and space.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: DIW Discussion Papers ; No. 1270

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Single Equation Models; Single Variables: Panel Data Models; Spatio-temporal Models
Size and Spatial Distributions of Regional Economic Activity
Housing Supply and Markets
Thema
Heterogeneity in Spatial Dependence
Panel Smooth Transition Regression
Housing Prices
Disposition Effect

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Pijnenburg, Katharina
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung (DIW)
(wo)
Berlin
(wann)
2013

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
12.07.2024, 13:23 MESZ

Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Pijnenburg, Katharina
  • Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung (DIW)

Entstanden

  • 2013

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