Arbeitspapier

Optimal trend inflation

We present a sticky-price model incorporating heterogeneous Firms and systematic firm-level productivity trends. Aggregating the model in closed form, we show that it delivers radically different predictions for the optimal inflation rate than canonical sticky price models featuring homogenous Firms: (1) the optimal steady-state inflation rate generically differs from zero and, (2) inflation optimally responds to productivity disturbances. Using micro data from the US Census Bureau to estimate the inflation-relevant productivity trends at the firm level, we find that the optimal US inflation rate is positive. It was slightly above 2 percent in the year 1986, but continuously declined thereafter, reaching about 1 percent in the year 2013.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: CFS Working Paper Series ; No. 579

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Monetary Policy
Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
Business Fluctuations; Cycles
Thema
optimal inflation rate
sticky prices
firm heterogeneity

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Adam, Klaus
Weber, Henning
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Goethe University Frankfurt, Center for Financial Studies (CFS)
(wo)
Frankfurt a. M.
(wann)
2017

Handle
URN
urn:nbn:de:hebis:30:3-438653
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:43 MEZ

Datenpartner

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Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Adam, Klaus
  • Weber, Henning
  • Goethe University Frankfurt, Center for Financial Studies (CFS)

Entstanden

  • 2017

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