Arbeitspapier

A Wake-Up-Call Theory of Contagion

We propose a novel theory of financial contagion. We study global coordination games of regime change in two regions with an initially uncertain correlation of regional fundamentals. A crisis in region 1 is a wake-up call to investors in region 2 that induces a reassessment of local fundamentals. Contagion after a wake-up call can occur even if investors learn that fundamentals are uncorrelated and common lender effects or balancesheet linkages are absent. Applicable to currency attacks, bank runs and debt crises, our theory of contagion is supported by existing evidence and generates a new testable implication for empirical work.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Bank of Canada Working Paper ; No. 2015-14

Classification
Wirtschaft
Asymmetric and Private Information; Mechanism Design
Financial Crises
Subject
Exchange rates
Financial stability
International financial markets

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Ahnert, Toni
Bertsch, Christoph
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Bank of Canada
(where)
Ottawa
(when)
2015

DOI
doi:10.34989/swp-2015-14
Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:45 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Ahnert, Toni
  • Bertsch, Christoph
  • Bank of Canada

Time of origin

  • 2015

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