Multiscale assessment of North American terrestrial carbon balance

Abstract 2) exchange between the atmosphere and terrestrial biosphere. Previous comparisons have shown varying levels of agreement between bottom-up and top-down approaches, but they have almost exclusively focused on large, aggregated scales (e.g., global or continental), providing limited insights into reasons for the mismatches. Here we explore how consistency, defined as the spread in net ecosystem exchange (NEE) estimates within an ensemble of TBMs or inversions, varies with at finer spatial scales ranging from 1 ∘ × 1 ∘ 2 drawdowns or enhancements. We find that TBMs produce more consistent estimates of NEE for most regions and at most scales relative to inversions. Filtering models using atmospheric CO2 metrics causes ensemble spread to decrease substantially for TBMs, but not for inversions. This suggests that ensemble spread is likely not a reliable measure of the uncertainty associated with the North American carbon balance at any spatial scale. Promisingly, applying atmospheric CO2 metrics leads to a set of models with converging flux estimates across TBMs and inversions. Overall, we show that multiscale assessment of the agreement between bottom-up and top-down NEE estimates, aided by regional-scale observational constraints is a promising path towards identifying fine-scale sources of uncertainty and improving both ensemble consistency and accuracy. These findings help refine our understanding of biospheric carbon balance, particularly at scales relevant for informing regional carbon-climate feedbacks.

Location
Deutsche Nationalbibliothek Frankfurt am Main
Extent
Online-Ressource
Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Multiscale assessment of North American terrestrial carbon balance ; volume:21 ; number:3 ; year:2024 ; pages:869-891 ; extent:23
Biogeosciences ; 21, Heft 3 (2024), 869-891 (gesamt 23)

Creator
Foster, Kelsey T.
Sun, Wu
Shiga, Yoichi P.
Mao, Jiafu
Michalak, Anna M.

DOI
10.5194/bg-21-869-2024
URN
urn:nbn:de:101:1-2024022203302876682875
Rights
Open Access; Der Zugriff auf das Objekt ist unbeschränkt möglich.
Last update
14.08.2025, 11:00 AM CEST

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Associated

  • Foster, Kelsey T.
  • Sun, Wu
  • Shiga, Yoichi P.
  • Mao, Jiafu
  • Michalak, Anna M.

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