Arbeitspapier

Secular stagnation and income distribution dynamics

This paper contributes to the literature on secular stagnation by estimating a measure of potential output growth for the post-war US economy derived from a novel model specification that allows for the cyclical interactions between income distribution, represented by the trajectory of the labor share of income, and economic activity, as measured by capacity utilization. The results obtained show that potential output growth exhibits a gradual decline that predates the Great Recession and follows the downward trajectory of the labor share of income, thus suggesting the existence of an important long-run relationship between income distribution and output growth in the USA.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Working Paper ; No. 2019-05

Classification
Wirtschaft
Current Heterodox Approaches: General
General Aggregative Models: Keynes; Keynesian; Post-Keynesian
Aggregate Factor Income Distribution
Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity: General
Subject
Potential output growth
capacity utilization
income distribution
labor share
US economy

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Kiefer, David M.
Mendieta-Muñoz, Ivan
Rada, Codrina
von Arnim, Rudiger
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
The University of Utah, Department of Economics
(where)
Salt Lake City, UT
(when)
2019

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:42 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Kiefer, David M.
  • Mendieta-Muñoz, Ivan
  • Rada, Codrina
  • von Arnim, Rudiger
  • The University of Utah, Department of Economics

Time of origin

  • 2019

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