Arbeitspapier

Trade Policies and Integration of the Western Balkans

Based on a newly constructed multi-country input-output table including all European countries, we estimate the economic effects of the EU accession countries entering the 'Stabilisation and Association Agreement' (SAA) with the EU and the potential effects of joining the European Single Market applying a structural gravity framework. The results point towards strong positive effects on trade for the SAA countries, but only small effects for the EU Member States. Conducting a counterfactual analysis, the paper gives an indication of the magnitude of the positive impacts on GDP for these countries. In addition, a detailed industry breakdown of these effects is provided.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: wiiw Working Paper ; No. 148

Classification
Wirtschaft
Quantitative Policy Modeling
Large Data Sets: Modeling and Analysis
Input-Output Models
Trade Policy; International Trade Organizations
Empirical Studies of Trade
Economic Integration
Trade: Forecasting and Simulation
Subject
structural gravity
modelling
EU accession
Western Balkans
multi-country input-output table

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Reiter, Oliver
Stehrer, Robert
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies (wiiw)
(where)
Vienna
(when)
2018

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:43 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Reiter, Oliver
  • Stehrer, Robert
  • The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies (wiiw)

Time of origin

  • 2018

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