Arbeitspapier

The financialization of food?

Commodity-equity and cross-commodity return co-movements rose dramatically after the 2008 financial crisis. This development took place following what has been dubbed the 'financialization' of commodity markets. We first document changes since 2000 in the intensity of speculative activity in grain and livestock futures. We then use a structural VAR model to establish the role of speculative activity in explaining the strength of co-movements between grain, livestock and equity returns. We find that speculative intensity does not in itself affect the extent to which grain markets move in sync with the stock market. Rather, pre-crisis, financial speculators' futures positions facilitated the transmission of macroeconomic shocks into grain markets. Strikingly, in the post-crisis period, this transmission channel weakened to the point of statistical insignificance. The role of speculative activity is less evident in livestock markets, where only macroeconomic conditions have a statistically significant impact on return co-movements with equities.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: Bank of Canada Working Paper ; No. 2013-39

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Agriculture: Aggregate Supply and Demand Analysis; Prices
Agricultural Markets and Marketing; Cooperatives; Agribusiness
Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
Contingent Pricing; Futures Pricing; option pricing
Thema
International topics
Recent economic and financial developments

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Bruno, Valentina G.
Buyuksahin, Bahattin
Robe, Michel A.
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Bank of Canada
(wo)
Ottawa
(wann)
2013

DOI
doi:10.34989/swp-2013-39
Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:43 MEZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Bruno, Valentina G.
  • Buyuksahin, Bahattin
  • Robe, Michel A.
  • Bank of Canada

Entstanden

  • 2013

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