Arbeitspapier

Misspecification Testing in GARCH-MIDAS Models

We develop a misspecification test for the multiplicative two-component GARCH-MIDAS model suggested in Engle et al. (2013). In the GARCH-MIDAS model a short-term unit variance GARCH component fluctuates around a smoothly time-varying long-term component which is driven by the dynamics of an explanatory variable. We suggest a Lagrange Multiplier statistic for testing the null hypothesis that the variable has no explanatory power. Hence, under the null hypothesis the long-term component is constant and the GARCH-MIDAS reduces to the simple GARCH model. We derive the asymptotic theory for our test statistic and investigate its finite sample properties by Monte-Carlo simulation. The usefulness of our procedure is illustrated by an empirical application to S&P 500 return data.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: Discussion Paper Series ; No. 597

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Thema
Volatility Component Models
LM test
Long-term Volatility

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Conrad, Christian
Schienle, Melanie
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
University of Heidelberg, Department of Economics
(wo)
Heidelberg
(wann)
2015

DOI
doi:10.11588/heidok.00019006
Handle
URN
urn:nbn:de:bsz:16-heidok-190061
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:45 MEZ

Datenpartner

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ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Conrad, Christian
  • Schienle, Melanie
  • University of Heidelberg, Department of Economics

Entstanden

  • 2015

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