Illegal trade in the Iranian economy: evidence from a structural model

Arbeitspapier

This study investigates the main causes and consequences of import and export smuggling and estimates the relative index of smuggling in Iran from 1970 to 2002. The Multiple Indicators - Multiple Causes (MIMIC) econometric modelling is used for a comprehensive analysis of the latent variable of smuggling. The main results of this paper indicate that the rate of fine for smuggling and the general level of education reduce smuggling, while the tariff burden increases the incentives for illegal trade. More trade openness accompanies more illegal trade for the case of Iran. On average, the relative size of smuggling is about 13% of the total trade in Iran. The absolute amount of smuggling per year is about USD3 billion.

Angaben zum Objekt

• Sprache: Englisch

Verweise und Beziehungen

• Erschienen in: Series: CESifo Working Paper ; No. 2397

Klassifikation und Themen

• Klassifikation: Wirtschaft ; Formal and Informal Sectors; Shadow Economy; Institutional Arrangements ; Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables: Other ; Tax Evasion and Avoidance
• Thema: Smuggling ; structural equation model ; Iran ; illegal trade ; Schmuggel ; Schattenwirtschaft ; Schätzung ; Iran

Beteiligte, Orts- und Zeitangaben

• Ereignis: Geistige Schöpfung
• (wer): Farzanegan, Mohammad Reza
• Ereignis: Veröffentlichung
• (wer): Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)
• (wo): Munich
• (wann): 2008

Weitere Informationen

• Handle: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/26442
• Letzte Aktualisierung: 10.03.2025, 11:45 MEZ