Arbeitspapier

What drives financial markets? Real-time macroeconomic indicators

It is difficult to identify the driving forces behind financial market developments as they are not directly observable. The paper argues that correlations between asset prices in different markets can be used to infer which of five macroeconomic factors that drive markets (growth and inflation in the euro area and the US respectively and global risk appetite). The asset pricing in the model follows standard finance theory, but the resulting indicators are novel. The indicators are useful as they are objective, consistent, based on actual market developments, quantitative and available in real-time. The history of the indicators also passes a reality check.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Danmarks Nationalbank Working Papers ; No. 42

Classification
Wirtschaft
Subject
Finanzmarkt
Wertpapierhandel
Wirtschaftswachstum
Inflation
Finanzmarkt
Wertpapierhandel
Wirtschaftswachstum
Inflation
Makroökonomik
USA
Eurozone
EU-Staaten
USA
Makroökonomischer Einfluss

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Hansen, Jakob Lage
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Danmarks Nationalbank
(where)
Copenhagen
(when)
2006

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:46 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Hansen, Jakob Lage
  • Danmarks Nationalbank

Time of origin

  • 2006

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