Artikel

What News Drive Variation in Swiss and US Bond and Stock Excess Returns?

Based on a vector autoregressive model (VAR), this paper shows that time variation in monthly excess returns on Swiss government bonds and stocks is predominantly driven by news of inflation and dividends, respectively. This finding is in marked contrast to US evidence which points to a more prominent role of excess return news. Variance decompositions based on estimates from threshold VARs show that US stock market evidence is consistent with the view that market participants put more weight on news of macroeconomic, i.e. cash-flow, risks in periods of exceptionally low real interest rates than in normal times.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Journal: Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics ; ISSN: 2235-6282 ; Volume: 150 ; Year: 2014 ; Issue: 2 ; Pages: 89-118 ; Heidelberg: Springer

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
Thema
bond return
news components
stock return
variance decomposition

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Nitschka, Thomas
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Springer
(wo)
Heidelberg
(wann)
2014

DOI
doi:10.1007/BF03399403
Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:42 MEZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Artikel

Beteiligte

  • Nitschka, Thomas
  • Springer

Entstanden

  • 2014

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