Arbeitspapier

School and Crime

Criminal activity is seasonal, peaking in the summer and declining through the winter. We provide the first evidence that arrests of children and reported crimes involving children follow a different pattern: peaking during the school year and declining in the summer. We use a regression discontinuity design surrounding the exact start and end dates of the school year to show that this pattern is caused by school: children aged 10–17 are roughly 50% more likely to be involved in a reported crime during the beginning of the school year relative to the weeks before school begins. This sharp increase is driven by student-on-student crimes occurring in school and during school hours. We use the timing of these patterns and a seasonal adjustment to argue that school increases reported crime rates (and arrests) involving 10–17-year-old offenders by 47% (41%) annually relative to a counterfactual where crime rates follow typical seasonal patterns. School exacerbates preexisting sex-based and race-based inequality in reported crime and arrest rates, increasing both the Black-white and male-female gap in reported juvenile crime and arrest rates by more than 40%.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: CESifo Working Paper ; No. 10702

Classification
Wirtschaft
Education and Research Institutions: General
Legal Procedure, the Legal System, and Illegal Behavior: General
Subject
school
crime
academic calendar
regression discontinuity design

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Jones, Todd R.
Karger, Ezra
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)
(where)
Munich
(when)
2023

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:41 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Jones, Todd R.
  • Karger, Ezra
  • Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)

Time of origin

  • 2023

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