Artikel

Capital Flows at Risk: India’s Experience

With the spate of emerging market crises since the 1990s and the experience with the global financial crisis and its aftermath, attention has turned from the benefits associated with capital flows to their consequences such as accentuating financial vulnerabilities, aggravating macroeconomic instability and spreading contagion. For India, portfolio flows are the most sensitive to shifts in risk sentiment globally and spillovers. Applying a capital flows at risk approach, it is observed that in an adverse scenario, potential portfolio outflows can average up to 3.2 per cent of GDP. In a black swan event comprising a combination of shocks, potential portfolio outflows can rise to 7.7 per cent of GDP, highlighting the need for maintaining liquid reserves to quell such potential bouts of instability.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Journal: RBI Bulletin ; ISSN: 0034-5512 ; Volume: 76 ; Year: 2022 ; Issue: 6 ; Pages: 73-88 ; Mumbai: Reserve Bank of India

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
History of Economic Thought since 1925: International Trade and Finance
Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements
International Lending and Debt Problems
Thema
Capital flows
global risk aversion
capital flows at risk

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Muduli, Silu
Behera, Harendra
Patra, Michael Debabrata
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Reserve Bank of India
(wo)
Mumbai
(wann)
2022

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:42 MEZ

Datenpartner

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Objekttyp

  • Artikel

Beteiligte

  • Muduli, Silu
  • Behera, Harendra
  • Patra, Michael Debabrata
  • Reserve Bank of India

Entstanden

  • 2022

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