Arbeitspapier

Persistence in the Cryptocurrency Market

This paper examines persistence in the cryptocurrency market. Two different long-memory methods (R/S analysis and fractional integration) are used to analyse it in the case of the four main cryptocurrencies (BitCoin, LiteCoin, Ripple, Dash) over the sample period 2013-2017. The findings indicate that this market exhibits persistence (there is a positive correlation between its past and future values), and that its degree changes over time. Such predictability represents evidence of market inefficiency: trend trading strategies can be used to generate abnormal profits in the cryptocurrency market.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: CESifo Working Paper ; No. 6811

Classification
Wirtschaft
Single Equation Models; Single Variables: Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
Subject
crypto currency
BitCoin
persistence
long memory
R/S analysis
fractional integration

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria
Gil-Alaña, Luis A.
Plastun, Alex
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)
(where)
Munich
(when)
2017

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:45 AM CET

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Caporale, Guglielmo Maria
  • Gil-Alaña, Luis A.
  • Plastun, Alex
  • Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)

Time of origin

  • 2017

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