Arbeitspapier

Momentum Effects in the Cryptocurrency Market After One-Day Abnormal Returns

This paper examines whether there exists a momentum effect after one-day abnormal returns in the cryptocurrency market. For this purpose a number of hypotheses of interest are tested for the BitCoin, Ethereum and LiteCoin exchange rates vis-à-vis the US dollar over the period 01.01.2017-01.09.2019, specifically whether or not: H1) the intraday behaviour of hourly returns is different on overreaction days compared to normal days; H2) there is a momentum effect on overreaction days, and H3) after one-day abnormal returns. The methods used for the analysis include a number of statistical methods as well as a trading simulation approach. The results suggest that hourly returns during the day of positive/negative overreactions are significantly higher/lower than those during the average positive/negative day. Overreactions can usually be detected before the day ends by estimating specific timing parameters. Prices tend to move in the direction of the overreaction till the end of the day when it occurs, which implies the existence of a momentum effect on that day giving rise to exploitable profit opportunities. This effect (together with profit opportunities) is also observed on the following day. In two cases (BTCUSD positive overreactions and ETHUSD negative overreactions) a contrarian effect is detected instead.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: CESifo Working Paper ; No. 7917

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
Financial Forecasting and Simulation
Computational Techniques; Simulation Modeling
Thema
cryptocurrencies
anomalies
momentum effect
overreactions
abnormal returns
patterns

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria
Plastun, Alex
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)
(wo)
Munich
(wann)
2019

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:43 MEZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Caporale, Guglielmo Maria
  • Plastun, Alex
  • Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)

Entstanden

  • 2019

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