Arbeitspapier

Is housing collateral important to the business cycle? Evidence from China parity

This paper investigates whether housing collateral is important to the business cycle in China. We develop two models, one without housing collateral as benchmark and one variant allowing for it. Indirect Inference procedure tests these two models' compatibility with the data. We find that the benchmark model passes the test, while the collateral model is strongly rejected. According to the benchmark model, shocks from the housing market have limited impact on the Chinese business cycle. By contrast, the exogenous spending shock from gov- ernment and net exports, the monetary policy shock and the goods-sector cost/productivity shock, all in turn most likely connected to world business cycle shocks (especially the global financial crisis), are found to be the main drivers.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Cardiff Economics Working Papers ; No. E2020/6

Classification
Wirtschaft
Business Fluctuations; Cycles
Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
Monetary Policy
Housing Supply and Markets
Subject
Housing market
DSGE model
Housing collateral
Indirect Inference
China

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Gai, Yue
Minford, Patrick
Ou, Zhirong
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School
(where)
Cardiff
(when)
2020

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:43 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Gai, Yue
  • Minford, Patrick
  • Ou, Zhirong
  • Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School

Time of origin

  • 2020

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