Contagion, spillover and interdependence

Arbeitspapier

This paper reviews the empirical literature on international spillovers and contagion. Theoretical models of spillover and contagion imply that the reduced form observable variables suffer from two possible sources of bias: endogeneity and omitted variables. These econometric problems in combination with the heteroskedasticity that plagues the data produces time varying biases. Several empirical methodologies are evaluated from this perspective: non-parametric techniques such as correlations and principal components, as well as parametric methods such as OLS, VAR, event studies, ARCH, Non-linear regressions, etc. The paper concludes that there is no single technique that can solve the full fledge problem and discusses three methodologies that can partially address some of the questions in the literature.

Object Details

• ISBN: 978-92-899-2223-4
• Language: Englisch

References and Relationships

• Bibliographic citation: Series: ECB Working Paper ; No. 1975

Classification and Topics

• Classification: Wirtschaft ; Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables: General ; Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements ; Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General
• Subject: contagion ; heteroskedasticity ; identification

Contributors, Places and Time

• Event: Geistige Schöpfung
• (who): Rigobon, Roberto
• Event: Veröffentlichung
• (who): European Central Bank (ECB)
• (where): Frankfurt a. M.
• (when): 2016

Further information

• DOI: doi:10.2866/81991
• Handle: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/154408
• Last update: 10.03.2025, 11:43 AM CET