Arbeitspapier

Euro area business confidence and Covid-19

I study the effects of the Covid-19 pandemic on business confidence in 11 Euro area countries and its consequent impact on economic activity. To obtain causal effects, I instrument business confidence with domestic household confidence as well as average household confidence in neighboring countries. I find evidence suggesting that the confidence and expectations channel was an important component to the economic transmission of Covid-19. A one standard deviation drop in business confidence leads to between 5-6 and 9 percent fall in economic activity in the industrial and wholesale and retail trade sectors respectively. These results highlight the importance of managing confidence and expectations in crises episodes.

ISBN
978-952-323-370-6
Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers ; No. 4/2021

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Macroeconomics: Production
General Outlook and Conditions
Macro-Based Behavioral Economics: Role and Effects of Psychological, Emotional, Social, and Cognitive Factors on the Macro Economy‡
Health Behavior
Thema
Business confidence
survey expectations
Covid-19

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Ambrocio, Gene
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Bank of Finland
(wo)
Helsinki
(wann)
2021

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:41 MEZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Ambrocio, Gene
  • Bank of Finland

Entstanden

  • 2021

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