Arbeitspapier
Euro area business confidence and Covid-19
I study the effects of the Covid-19 pandemic on business confidence in 11 Euro area countries and its consequent impact on economic activity. To obtain causal effects, I instrument business confidence with domestic household confidence as well as average household confidence in neighboring countries. I find evidence suggesting that the confidence and expectations channel was an important component to the economic transmission of Covid-19. A one standard deviation drop in business confidence leads to between 5-6 and 9 percent fall in economic activity in the industrial and wholesale and retail trade sectors respectively. These results highlight the importance of managing confidence and expectations in crises episodes.
- ISBN
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978-952-323-370-6
- Sprache
-
Englisch
- Erschienen in
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Series: Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers ; No. 4/2021
- Klassifikation
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Wirtschaft
Macroeconomics: Production
General Outlook and Conditions
Macro-Based Behavioral Economics: Role and Effects of Psychological, Emotional, Social, and Cognitive Factors on the Macro Economy‡
Health Behavior
- Thema
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Business confidence
survey expectations
Covid-19
- Ereignis
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Geistige Schöpfung
- (wer)
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Ambrocio, Gene
- Ereignis
-
Veröffentlichung
- (wer)
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Bank of Finland
- (wo)
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Helsinki
- (wann)
-
2021
- Handle
- Letzte Aktualisierung
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10.03.2025, 11:41 MEZ
Datenpartner
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Objekttyp
- Arbeitspapier
Beteiligte
- Ambrocio, Gene
- Bank of Finland
Entstanden
- 2021