Artikel

Risk and policy uncertainty on stock-bond return correlations: Evidence from the US markets

This paper investigates dynamic correlations of stock-bond returns for different stock indices and bond maturities. Evidence in the US shows that stock-bond relations are time-varying and display a negative trend. The stock-bond correlations are negatively correlated with implied volatilities in stock and bond markets. Tests show that stock-bond relations are positively correlated with economic policy uncertainty, however, are negatively correlated with the monetary policy and fiscal policy uncertainties. Correlation coefficients between stock and bond returns are positively related to total policy uncertainty for returns of the Dow-Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) and the S&P 500 Value stock index (VALUE), but negatively correlated with returns of S&P500 (Total market), the NASDAQ Composite Index (NASDAQ), and the RUSSELL 2000 (RUSSELL).

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Journal: Risks ; ISSN: 2227-9091 ; Volume: 8 ; Year: 2020 ; Issue: 2 ; Pages: 1-16 ; Basel: MDPI

Classification
Wirtschaft
Hypothesis Testing: General
Estimation: General
General Financial Markets: General (includes Measurement and Data)
Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
Subject
stock-bond correlation
VIX
economic policy uncertainty
monetary policy uncertainty
fiscal policy uncertainty

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Chiang, Thomas C.
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
MDPI
(where)
Basel
(when)
2020

DOI
doi:10.3390/risks8020058
Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:44 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Artikel

Associated

  • Chiang, Thomas C.
  • MDPI

Time of origin

  • 2020

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