Arbeitspapier

Has the Euro increased Trade?

A major economic reason for the introduction of the euro was its supposedly positive effect on intra-EMU trade. Existing studies examine this suspicion indirectly using non-EMU data and report ambiguous results. We estimate the euro-effect directly from data that include EMU observations. Using a dynamic panel model for annual bilateral exports, we find that the euro has significantly increased trade, with an effect of 4% in the first year and cumulating to around 40% in the long-run. These estimates can be useful in the debates on whether to join the euro in countries such as the U.K.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper ; No. 02-108/2

Classification
Wirtschaft
Single Equation Models; Single Variables: Panel Data Models; Spatio-temporal Models
Economic Integration
International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions
Subject
Currency union
dynamic panel data model
EMU
exports
imperfect substitutes model.
Eurozone
Euro
Internationale Wirtschaft
Panelforschung
EU-Staaten

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Bun, Maurice J.G.
Klaassen, Franc J.G.M.
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Tinbergen Institute
(where)
Amsterdam and Rotterdam
(when)
2002

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:43 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Bun, Maurice J.G.
  • Klaassen, Franc J.G.M.
  • Tinbergen Institute

Time of origin

  • 2002

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