Arbeitspapier

The effect of inflation on real commodity prices

Recent research has shown that economic conditions have an important effect on real commodity prices. We quantify the contribution of fluctuations in inflation to this particular link. In the data, a temporary rise in inflation causes real commodity prices to rise, as does a rise in trend inflation. We find that a simple dynamic equilibrium model of commodity supply and demand gives a realistic response of real commodity prices to inflation. Based on historical simulations, shocks to inflation played an important role in commodity price dynamics during the 1970s, but they have contributed negligibly to commodity price movements since then.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: Kiel Working Paper ; No. 1704

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
Monetary Policy
Studies of Particular Policy Episodes
Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics: General
Thema
Commodity prices
monetary policy
inflation
the 1970s
Rohstoffpreis
Inflation
Schätzung
Welt

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Reicher, Christopher Phillip
Utlaut, Johannes Friederich
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW)
(wo)
Kiel
(wann)
2011

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:43 MEZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
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Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Reicher, Christopher Phillip
  • Utlaut, Johannes Friederich
  • Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW)

Entstanden

  • 2011

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