Arbeitspapier

Bank-sourced transition matrices: Are banks' internal credit risk estimates Markovian?

This study provides new insights into banks' credit risk models by exploring features of their credit risk estimates and assessing practicalities of transition matrix estimation and related assumptions. Using a unique dataset of internal credit risk estimates from twelve global A-IRB banks, covering monthly observations on 20,000 North American and EU large corporates over the 2015-2018 time period, the study empirically tests the widely used assumptions of the Markovian property and time homogeneity at a larger scale than previously documented in the literature. The results show that internal credit risk estimates do not satisfy these assumptions as they show evidence of both path-dependency and time heterogeneity. In addition, contradicting previous findings on credit rating agency data, banks tend to revert their rating actions.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: IES Working Paper ; No. 03/2019

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Hypothesis Testing: General
Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
Banks; Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill
Thema
Risk management
credit risk
transition matrices

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Máková, Barbora
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Charles University in Prague, Institute of Economic Studies (IES)
(wo)
Prague
(wann)
2019

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
2025-03-10T11:42:43+0100

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Máková, Barbora
  • Charles University in Prague, Institute of Economic Studies (IES)

Entstanden

  • 2019

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