Arbeitspapier

Large mixed-frequency VARs with a parsimonious time-varying parameter structure

To simultaneously consider mixed-frequency time series, their joint dynamics, and possible structural changes, we introduce a time-varying parameter mixed-frequency VAR. To keep our approach from becoming too complex, we implement time variation parsimoniously: only the intercepts and a common factor in the error variances vary over time. We can therefore estimate moderately large systems in a reasonable amount of time, which makes our modifications appealing for practical use. For eleven U.S. variables, we examine the performance of our model and compare the results to the time-constant MF-VAR of Schorfheide and Song (2015). Our results demonstrate the feasibility and usefulness of our method.

ISBN
978-3-95729-509-5
Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: Bundesbank Discussion Paper ; No. 40/2018

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
Model Construction and Estimation
Forecasting Models; Simulation Methods
Thema
Mixed Frequencies
Time-Varying Intercepts
Common Stochastic Volatility
Bayesian VAR
Forecasting

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Götz, Thomas B.
Hauzenberger, Klemens
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Deutsche Bundesbank
(wo)
Frankfurt a. M.
(wann)
2018

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:42 MEZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Götz, Thomas B.
  • Hauzenberger, Klemens
  • Deutsche Bundesbank

Entstanden

  • 2018

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