Arbeitspapier

The Shift to Remote Work Lessens Wage-Growth Pressures

The recent shift to remote work raised the amenity value of employment. As compensation adjusts to share the amenity-value gains with employers, wage-growth pressures moderate. We find empirical support for this mechanism in the wage-setting behavior of U.S. employers, and we develop novel survey data to quantify its force. Our data imply a cumulative wage-growth moderation of 2.0 percentage points over two years. This moderation offsets more than half the real-wage catchup effect that Blanchard (2022) highlights in his analysis of near- term inflation pressures. The amenity-values gains associated with the recent rise of remote work also lower labor's share of national income by 1.1 percentage points. In addition, the "unexpected compression" of wages since early 2020 (Autor and Dube, 2022) is partly explained by the same amenity-value effect, which operates differentially across the earnings distribution.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: IZA Discussion Papers ; No. 15385

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
Firm Behavior: Empirical Analysis
Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution; Aggregate Human Capital; Aggregate Labor Productivity
Aggregate Factor Income Distribution
Thema
inflation dynamics
wage growth
amenity value
remote work
recession risk
business expectations
labor’s share of national income
wage compression

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Barrero, Jose Maria
Bloom, Nicholas
Davis, Steven J.
Meyer, Brent
Mihaylov, Emil
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Institute of Labor Economics (IZA)
(wo)
Bonn
(wann)
2022

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:43 MEZ

Datenpartner

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Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Barrero, Jose Maria
  • Bloom, Nicholas
  • Davis, Steven J.
  • Meyer, Brent
  • Mihaylov, Emil
  • Institute of Labor Economics (IZA)

Entstanden

  • 2022

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