Arbeitspapier

Occupation growth, skill prices, and wage inequality

This paper studies the relationship between occupational employment, occupational wages, and rising wage inequality. We document that in all occupations, entrants and leavers earn less than stayers. This suggests selection effects that are negative for growing occupations and positive for shrinking ones. We estimate a model of occupational prices and skills, which includes occupation-specific skill accumulation and endogenous switching across many occupations. Consistent with leading explanations for occupational changes, estimated prices (i.e., selection-corrected wages) and occupational employment growth are positively related. Just over 40% of selection is due to age in the sense that marginal workers have had less time to accumulate skills. The remainder is due to Roy-type selection, i.e., workers reacting to changing prices and shocks unrelated to age. Skill prices establish a long-suspected quantitative connection between occupational changes and the surge in wage inequality.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: ECONtribute Discussion Paper ; No. 167

Classification
Wirtschaft
Labor Force and Employment, Size, and Structure
Labor Demand
Human Capital; Skills; Occupational Choice; Labor Productivity
Wage Level and Structure; Wage Differentials
Subject
Skill Prices
Selection Effects
Multidimensional Skill Accumulation
Occupational Employment and Wages
Administrative Panel Data
Wage Inequality

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Böhm, Michael
von Gaudecker, Hans-Martin
Schran, Felix
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
University of Bonn and University of Cologne, Reinhard Selten Institute (RSI)
(where)
Bonn and Cologne
(when)
2022

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:43 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Böhm, Michael
  • von Gaudecker, Hans-Martin
  • Schran, Felix
  • University of Bonn and University of Cologne, Reinhard Selten Institute (RSI)

Time of origin

  • 2022

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