Arbeitspapier

The common drivers of default risk

Using a unique data set on German banks' loans to the German real economy, we investigate banks' credit risk. This data set includes the volume of loans per bank and industry as well as the corresponding write-downs. Our empirical study for the period 2003-2011 yields the following results: (i) Beyond the nationwide credit loss rate, industry composition, and regional factors, the loans' maturity structure is found to drive the bank-wide loss rates in the credit portfolio. (ii) The nationwide loss rate has the most impact, followed by the maturity structure and the industry composition. (iii) For nationwide banks, these common factors explain about 26% of the time variation in the loss rate of credit portfolios; for regional banks, this percentage is less than eight percent.

ISBN
978-3-86558-876-0
Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Bundesbank Discussion Paper ; No. 36/2012

Classification
Wirtschaft
Banks; Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
Subject
credit risk
systematic risk
maturity
stress tests

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Memmel, Christoph
Gündüz, Yalin
Raupach, Peter
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Deutsche Bundesbank
(where)
Frankfurt a. M.
(when)
2012

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:44 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Memmel, Christoph
  • Gündüz, Yalin
  • Raupach, Peter
  • Deutsche Bundesbank

Time of origin

  • 2012

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