Sudden stops, sovereign risk, and fiscal rules

Arbeitspapier

This paper studies the effect of implementing fiscal rules on sovereign default risk and on the probability of large capital ow reversals for a large sample of countries including both developed and emerging market economies. Results indicate that fiscal rules are beneficial for macroeconomic stability, as they significantly reduce both sovereign risk perception and the probability of a sudden stop in countries that implement them. These results, which are robust to various empirical specifications, have important policy implications specially for countries that have relaxed their fiscal rules in response to the Covid-19 pandemic.

Object Details

• Language: Englisch

References and Relationships

• Bibliographic citation: Series: IDB Working Paper Series ; No. IDB-WP-1207

Classification and Topics

• Classification: Wirtschaft ; Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Panel Data Models; Spatio-temporal Models ; International Lending and Debt Problems ; International Financial Markets
• Subject: fiscal rules ; sovereign default risk ; sudden stops ; dynamic heterogeneous panel data models

Contributors, Places and Time

• Event: Geistige Schöpfung
• (who): Gómez González, José Eduardo ; Valencia, Oscar M. ; Sánchez, Gustavo A.
• Event: Veröffentlichung
• (who): Inter-American Development Bank (IDB)
• (where): Washington, DC
• (when): 2021

Further information

• DOI: doi:10.18235/0003146
• Handle: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/237488
• Last update: 10.03.2025, 11:45 AM CET