Arbeitspapier

Sudden stops, sovereign risk, and fiscal rules

This paper studies the effect of implementing fiscal rules on sovereign default risk and on the probability of large capital ow reversals for a large sample of countries including both developed and emerging market economies. Results indicate that fiscal rules are beneficial for macroeconomic stability, as they significantly reduce both sovereign risk perception and the probability of a sudden stop in countries that implement them. These results, which are robust to various empirical specifications, have important policy implications specially for countries that have relaxed their fiscal rules in response to the Covid-19 pandemic.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: IDB Working Paper Series ; No. IDB-WP-1207

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Panel Data Models; Spatio-temporal Models
International Lending and Debt Problems
International Financial Markets
Thema
fiscal rules
sovereign default risk
sudden stops
dynamic heterogeneous panel data models

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Gómez González, José Eduardo
Valencia, Oscar M.
Sánchez, Gustavo A.
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Inter-American Development Bank (IDB)
(wo)
Washington, DC
(wann)
2021

DOI
doi:10.18235/0003146
Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:45 MEZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Gómez González, José Eduardo
  • Valencia, Oscar M.
  • Sánchez, Gustavo A.
  • Inter-American Development Bank (IDB)

Entstanden

  • 2021

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