Investor sentiment and stock return volatility: Evidence from the Johannesburg Stock Exchange

Artikel

Volatility is an important component of asset pricing; an increase in volatility on markets can trigger changes in the risk distribution of financial assets. In conventional financial theory, investors are considered to be rational and any changes in relevant risk are assumed to be a result of the movement in fundamental factors. However, herein this study, it is hypothesized that there are movements in risk that are driven by volatility linked to sentiment-driven noise trader activity whose patterns are irreconcilable with changes in fundamental factors. This assertion is tested using a daily sentiment composite index constructed from a set of proxies and Generalised Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity models on the South African market over a period spanning July 2002 to June 2018. The results show that there is a significant connection between investor sentiment and stock return volatility which shows that behavioural finance can significantly explain the behaviour of stock returns on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange. It is, thus, recommended that due to the inadequacies of popular asset pricing models such as the Capital Asset Pricing Model, consideration should be made towards augmenting these asset pricing models with a sentiment risk factor.

Angaben zum Objekt

• Sprache: Englisch

Verweise und Beziehungen

• Erschienen in: Journal: Cogent Economics & Finance ; ISSN: 2332-2039 ; Volume: 7 ; Year: 2019 ; Issue: 1 ; Pages: 1-16 ; Abingdon: Taylor & Francis

Klassifikation und Themen

• Klassifikation: Wirtschaft ; Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions ; Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates ; Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading ; Behavioral Finance: General‡ ; Behavioral Finance: Role and Effects of Psychological, Emotional, Social, and Cognitive Factors on Decision Making in Financial Markets‡
• Thema: Generalised autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity model (GARCH) ; investor sentiment ; stock return volatility ; noise traders

Beteiligte, Orts- und Zeitangaben

• Ereignis: Geistige Schöpfung
• (wer): Rupande, Lorraine ; Muguto, Hilary Tinotenda ; Muzindutsi, Paul-Francois
• Ereignis: Veröffentlichung
• (wer): Taylor & Francis
• (wo): Abingdon
• (wann): 2019

Weitere Informationen

• DOI: doi:10.1080/23322039.2019.1600233
• Handle: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/245225
• Letzte Aktualisierung: 10.03.2025, 11:43 MEZ