Arbeitspapier

A Multi-layer Scenario Analysis for Sustainable International Transport

It is clear that the future of the transport sector is fraught withuncertainties, as the system can be influenced by many factors thatcan develop in various ways. The aim of this paper is to gain insightinto the future development of the transportation sector. It presentsthe development of the transport sector based on four globalisationscenarios. On three different scale levels (global, European andDutch) four future images of the transportation market areconstructed. The expected implications of these scenarios are mappedout in a clear description of the various relevant aspects, such asmodal split and spatial organisation. In addition, this paper alsoprovides empirical insight into expected transport flows of passenger(passenger kilometres) and freight transport (ton-kilometres) in2020, based on data from 1995. It appears that globalisation leads inall scenarios and on each scale level to a considerable growth oftransported volumes.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper ; No. 00-102/3

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Thema
Globalisierung
Grenzüberschreitender Verkehr
Nachhaltige Entwicklung
Welt

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Ubbels, Barry
Rodenburg, Caroline
Nijkamp, Peter
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Tinbergen Institute
(wo)
Amsterdam and Rotterdam
(wann)
2000

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:42 MEZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Ubbels, Barry
  • Rodenburg, Caroline
  • Nijkamp, Peter
  • Tinbergen Institute

Entstanden

  • 2000

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